Game Script Simulator

Pick any two clubs to build a matchup, or load one of tonight's games. Green % = your model's edge over the book.

Tonight's games

Loading a game fills both teams and their prices in. Pulling prices checks the board once, so only do it when you're ready.

Away team (visitor)Home teamAway · BOS expected goalsHome · TOR expected goalsAway · BOS moneylineHome · TOR moneylineBook total

Tap Simulate to jump to the numbers. They also refresh on their own whenever you change a value.

Away · BOS44.3%fair +126-1.1%

Home · TOR55.7%fair -126-2.7%

Regulation tie (60-min 3-way)16.4%fair +509

Over 5.557.0%fair -133

Under 5.543.0%fair +133

Over 6.541.0%fair +144

Under 6.559.0%fair -144

Over 7.527.0%fair +271

Under 7.573.0%fair -271

Away · BOS +1.569.2%fair -225

Away · BOS -1.522.8%fair +339

Away · BOS -2.512.4%fair +708

Home · TOR +1.577.2%fair -339

Home · TOR -1.530.8%fair +225

Home · TOR -2.518.1%fair +453

Model: independent Poisson scoring. Puck lines on regulation score; OT split by regulation strength. Whole-number totals ignore pushes.